轉錄 【陪你看國際新聞】臺灣的防衛策略 vs 美國總統大選

【陪你看國際新聞】臺灣的防衛策略 vs 美國總統大選

蔡英文上任後，2017-2019 年的參謀總長李喜明，與 Project 2049 Institute 的研究員，一起寫了篇文章，投稿在 The Diplomat，並刊登於首頁。

• Taiwan’s Overall Defense Concept, Explained https://bit.ly/2TRdnVC

內容主要提到中共對臺灣的威脅，台灣目前的防禦策略，已著重於不對稱作戰，也就是用低成本造成高打擊，例如用大量便宜的反艦飛彈，打沉對方進犯的昂貴船隻與兵力。所需要的武器，剛好是最近這個月跟美國買的方向。

這種說帖式的文章，一定要提到對美國的利益。文中提到，對美國來說，與臺灣合作，能增加第一線調度的戰爭知識與經驗，對鞏固美國自由開放的印太政策也很有幫助。

最後一段說到，臺灣並不會期待美國犧牲自己年輕人的生命來保衛臺灣，但如果美國肯幫助（意思就是情報與武器，出兵隨緣），臺灣會守得更好。臺灣人有決心，捍衛自己的存在以及生活方式。

這篇投書的時機點很微妙，是在 11/3 刊出的，也表示政府的工作，在美國總統選舉前，已經朝向整個美國外交軍事決策與智庫圈。

不管美國總統之後是拜登或川普，以美國政府的架構來說，持續深化國會、國務院、外交智庫對臺灣的認識，是最具長遠效益的。

很幸運也很努力的，在過去四年，我們補足了戰鬥機、坦克，最近又買了反艦飛彈、多管火箭系統，這表示美方軍事決策圈以及國會都已經認識到臺灣的防衛需求。

總之，我們已經把握了機會武裝自己、捍衛自己的家園。

「A U.S.-Taiwan Joint Working Group could be mutually beneficial as it would not only bolster Taiwan’s defense and provide the U.S. military with insight for its own contingency planning and future warfighting, but also improve latent interoperability. Furthermore, the strengthened defense of Taiwan could play an important role in advancing the U.S. Free and Open Indo-Pacific strategy.
Now is the time to embrace an asymmetric approach to Taiwan’s defense. A fully implemented and institutionalized Overall Defense Concept would provide strategic guidance across all defense agencies and military services for a unified and deliberate effort in military investments and force development to strengthen Taiwan’s national defense. If the battle comes to Taiwan, the ODC would ensure the capitalization of all available military and civilian assets to muster a whole-of-society effort to defeat the enemy. Now is also the time for a new era of U.S.-Taiwan security cooperation. The Taiwan Strait could possibly be the theater of Sino-American military conflict, and the U.S. and Taiwan have an opportunity to address the CCP threat together. Through implementing the ODC, the U.S.-Taiwan Joint Working Group would enhance deterrent effects of the bilateral relationship and embolden Taiwan’s security.

In a cross-strait contingency, Taiwan would appreciate any assistance from Washington. However, Taiwan’s military will not assume that the U.S. will sacrifice American lives to defend the island. But with American support, Taiwan can fight better. It is the onus of the Taiwanese people to decide their fate and fight for their existence.」